Which States Face the Biggest Challenges in Expanding AI Data Centers?
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Which States Face the Biggest Challenges in Expanding AI Data Centers?

Which States Face the Biggest Challenges in Expanding AI Data Centers?

As demand for artificial intelligence grows, a new report raises questions about the electricity and water needed to support it.

Artificial intelligence may feel like a digital service, but it depends on physical infrastructure. Data centers need electricity to run their equipment, cooling systems to manage heat, and suitable places to expand. Those needs can create difficult tradeoffs for states and the communities around them.

A September 2026 study from TRG Datacenters compared 24 states with existing AI infrastructure. It ranked the states by factors including data center capacity, estimated emissions, electricity use, and the share of mapped data centers in areas facing high water stress.

North Dakota ranked as the state facing the greatest challenges to further expansion in the study. It has one large AI data center site with 68 megawatts (MW) of capacity. The report estimates that AI data centers account for 1.7% of the state’s electricity use and produce 219,100 tonnes of CO₂ annually.

How the States Compare

StateLarge AI data center sitesCapacityEstimated share of state electricity useMapped data centers in high water stress areas
North Dakota168 MW1.7%0%
Wyoming1152 MW6.7%100%
Minnesota1178 MW2.1%44.4%
Wisconsin2369 MW4%53.8%
New Mexico287 MW2.1%100%
Oklahoma253 MW0.5%0%
North Carolina165 MW0.4%94.1%
Utah1133 MW2.9%90%
Arizona3356 MW3%100%
Alabama1153 MW1.3%0%

Figures are from the TRG Datacenters study supplied for this article. The water stress measure applies to mapped data centers and should not be read as the share of a state’s water supply used by data centers.

Where Expansion Could Be Difficult

Wyoming ranked second. Its one large site has 152 MW of capacity, while the study estimates that AI data centers account for 6.7% of the state’s electricity use—the highest share among the ten states shown. All of its mapped data centers are in high water stress areas.

Minnesota ranked third. The report places 44.4% of its mapped data centers in high water stress areas and estimates annual emissions of 573,400 tonnes of CO₂. Its large AI data center site has 178 MW of capacity.

Wisconsin ranked fourth, with two large sites and 369 MW of capacity. The study estimates that AI data centers account for 4% of the state’s electricity use; 53.8% of its mapped data centers are in high water stress areas.

New Mexico rounded out the top five. Its two large sites have a combined capacity of 87 MW, and all of its mapped data centers are in high water stress areas, according to the report.

Oklahoma offers a different point of comparison: its two large sites have a combined capacity of 53 MW, the lowest in the table. North Carolina’s single large site has 65 MW of capacity, while the study places 94.1% of its mapped data centers in high water stress areas.

Why This Matters for Household Budgets

A data center project can bring investment to a community, but residents also have reason to ask how its electricity and water needs will be met. When a utility plans major upgrades, the practical question for households is who will pay for them and how those costs could affect future bills.

The TRG rankings identify potential pressure points; they do not establish that residents in these states will see higher rates or water costs. Local utility plans, project agreements, and public hearings would provide a clearer picture of the impact of any proposed site.

For anyone living near a planned data center, three questions are worth bringing to a public meeting: How much electricity and water will the project require? What upgrades are needed? And who will cover their cost?

View the full TRG Datacenters findings.

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